Discovery Lab Answers

Dean I. Radin, PhD — FATA (Forecast-Assisted Trend Analysis / Global Consciousness & Related Work)

A note on scope first: the query “FATA” most likely refers to work appearing in Radin’s recent publications on the Global Consciousness Project (GCP) and related mind-matter interaction studies, particularly the New Year’s Eve series. The sources retrieved for this question center on that line of work plus adjacent experiments on water pH correlations. Coverage is unmeasured — the ESP-Nexus library’s share of the full published literature on Radin’s work has not been quantified, so what follows is a summary of what the library holds, not a settled account of the field.

Experiments

New Year’s Eve / Global Consciousness Project (GCP) series. Radin (2025) examined GCP random-number-generator (RNG) network data spanning 1998–2025, focusing on the stroke of midnight across multiple time zones on New Year’s Eve. The paper treats NYE as a “case study in experimental metaphysics,” testing whether globally synchronized human attention correlates with detectable anomalies in physically random systems. A 2026 corrigendum corrected a specific PCA composite score reported in that paper, clarifying the midnight-segment result.

Water pH “excess correlation” replication. Radin (2025) conducted a preliminary independent replication of a claimed “excess correlation” effect — anomalous pH co-variation between physically isolated beakers of water — using a magnetic field stimulation technique. Local and remote beakers were placed 1 meter apart; a third, non-stimulated control beaker was positioned between them. A further set of tests placed the local beaker 10 meters from the control and remote beakers.

Other lines of work represented in the library (carried in the structured evidence rows) include double-slit optical mind-matter interaction experiments, intention vs. relaxation trials, and participation in multi-investigator studies on extended perception.

Methodology

GCP / NYE study. The protocol analyzed archival GCP network data — not a prospectively controlled experiment in the conventional sense. Radin formed Stouffer Z composites per second, smoothed with a 30-day moving window, aligned to UTC midnight across time zones. A Principal Components Analysis (PCA) composite aggregated multiple network-level measures (CD, PE, HFD, BDS, AC) at the midnight segment. The 2026 corrigendum identifies a correction to the PCA composite score, indicating that at least one analytical step was subject to post-publication revision. The paper itself acknowledges the exploratory character of several analyses.

Water pH study. Radin (2025) describes a controlled bench-chemistry setup: an Arduino circuit energized both local and remote halos simultaneously; a non-stimulated control beaker served as baseline. The paper notes several factors that may modulate the effect — field strength, magnetic sequence, water quantity and type, a claimed “space memory” effect, halo orientation relative to magnetic North, and geomagnetic field strength — and characterizes the study explicitly as a preliminary replication, not a definitive test.

Data

The structured evidence rows for Radin span a wide range of metrics and experimental contexts; these are not comparable across rows (see METRIC MIX note — the table contains z-scores, hit rates, correlations, Cohen’s d, and p-only results). No pooling across metrics is meaningful. Results with a common metric (z/√N) are plotted in the chart below.

Key rows from the retrieved sources:

Unsettled signals must be stated plainly. Across the full 81-result evidence set for Radin in the library, 9 result rows report null or below-chance (psi-missing) outcomes, and reported directions disagree across studies. For example, one experiment-level result (Wahbeh 2022, extended perception task) yields Hedges’ g = −0.16 in the below-chance direction, and one Radin (2023) experiment-level result shows z = −3.0 (below chance, p = 0.003). The corrigendum also signals that at least one headline figure required post-publication correction. The evidence is not uniformly positive.

Skeptical critiques

The retrieved sources for this question do not include published criticism directed specifically at the NYE/GCP or water-pH lines of work. What the sources do carry are Radin’s own methodological cautions.

What the authors themselves flag. Radin (2025) lists several uncontrolled variables in the water pH study — magnetic field strength, sequence specifics, water quantity and type, halo orientation, and geomagnetic field — and labels the study “preliminary.” Radin (2026) is itself a corrigendum: a post-publication correction to the PCA composite score reported in Radin (2025), which means the midnight-segment headline figure changed after peer review. Radin (2025) describes several of its analyses as exploratory.

What the experimental record shows. The GCP design analyzes archival, non-randomized observational data rather than a prospectively registered experiment with blinded data collection, which limits causal inference. The PCA composite correction documented in shows that at least one analytical pipeline was sensitive enough to change the published result. Independent replication of the water pH excess-correlation effect — by a separate group, not the originating laboratory — has not been reported in the retrieved sources.

Analysis. The self-corrections and the preliminary labeling are the primary methodological signals in the retrieved material. Radin (2026) and the cautions in Radin (2025) together indicate that both lines of work are at an early or revisionary stage. Named external criticism of these specific studies is not present in the sources retrieved for this question.

For Radin’s broader research record, see his profile at Dean I. Radin, PhD.